Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 87984.819512 92825.236834 97662.514335 102856.006477 108270.683999 113746.092320 119697.960524
2025-02-09 79956.605090 87367.281229 94978.933327 103370.845512 112352.713839 121667.057359 132045.622688
2025-02-16 73809.468861 82930.458744 92503.810195 103279.534060 115048.863124 127491.073472 141616.838832
2025-02-23 69456.800565 79884.613348 91028.945515 103789.641247 117960.202273 133176.969828 150715.234118
2025-03-02 65636.949453 77067.423752 89479.037626 103905.134445 120157.379144 137846.087892 158498.183213
2025-03-09 63176.157182 75549.404506 89174.632167 105220.612798 123526.001650 143683.010468 167479.884572
2025-03-16 59986.623992 73000.315252 87523.369675 104840.261923 124829.759291 147082.378840 173626.072853
2025-03-23 58303.845771 72070.114483 87616.863222 106359.343933 128220.368029 152790.025566 182363.007169
2025-03-30 56464.842623 70847.586260 87275.732305 107288.358104 130860.775219 157592.665354 190040.672655
2025-04-06 54382.064557 69232.887623 86383.153324 107486.670656 132579.069632 161279.829216 196398.606766
2025-04-13 52339.866045 67575.436334 85357.422425 107450.440665 133956.534565 164522.641024 202209.553372
2025-04-20 51364.704599 67160.029368 85771.485452 109095.341374 137302.853229 170067.109570 210736.737746
2025-04-27 50413.972472 66756.686172 86196.928216 110769.305963 140723.216440 175765.328034 219551.126530
2025-05-04 49060.211215 65803.009869 85911.367662 111548.701638 143050.173135 180166.625172 226850.976120
2025-05-11 47381.190315 64379.107266 84992.140256 111501.360198 144333.590291 183293.532724 232617.814373
2025-05-18 46097.566142 63406.919047 84589.963523 112054.744010 146324.061092 187259.488951 239400.733096
2025-05-25 44687.832366 62222.635821 83877.014007 112179.907621 147754.675317 190527.050732 245333.660332
2025-06-01 43948.233516 61874.315109 84194.335757 113579.899877 150759.536958 195723.006449 253644.731974
2025-06-08 42435.347169 60466.847580 83118.546635 113175.380791 151474.536873 198082.421430 258465.162115
2025-06-15 41892.312628 60315.493830 83636.999059 114791.330021 154730.003308 203592.878435 267204.204300
2025-06-22 41107.887007 59814.817665 83680.415874 115779.442323 157181.571919 208107.643299 274728.158538
2025-06-29 40033.378255 58891.092662 83142.829803 115990.357317 158624.235409 211353.971913 280676.915438
2025-07-06 38905.479216 57861.208209 82435.138209 115951.825724 159725.588614 214159.965172 286075.191452